The Motley Fool

Would Warren Buffett Be Interested in Teckwah Industrial Corporation Limited, One of the 30 Best Stocks in Singapore for 2018?

My Foolish colleague, Chong Ser Jing, recently ranked all the stocks in the Singapore market according to the Magic Formula, an investing strategy popularised by Joel Greenblatt in his book, The Little Book That Beats The Market. Ser Jing wanted to find the 30 best stocks in Singapore for 2018, based on the Magic Formula, and Teckwah Industrial Corporation Limited (SGX: 561) happened to be one of them.

As a quick background, Teckwah offers a full suite of printing, packaging, logistics, supply chain management and digital solutions for businesses in all industries.

Even though Teckwah was ranked highly on Greenblatt’s Magic Formula, would one of the greatest investors in the world, Warren Buffett, be interested in the company? We can’t ask him in person, but we can turn to a six-point acquisition criteria formulated by the Oracle of Omaha to give us some clues to the question. However, more importantly, Buffett’s checklist, together with a deep dive into Teckwah’s financials that I did recently, can help investors develop a better understanding of the company.

With that, let’s turn to Buffett’s acquisition criteria.

1. Pre-tax earnings of at least US$75 million

Buffett has this criterion in place because the conglomerate he controls, Berkshire Hathaway, is a near-US$500 billion behemoth, so his acquisition targets need to be of a certain size to move the needle for Berkshire.

In 2017, Teckwah had pre-tax earnings of S$16.9 million, which is much lower than the first criterion. Retail investors looking into Singapore-listed companies, though, should not be too strict about this rule as this might inadvertently sieve out many high-quality small-cap companies.

2. Demonstrated consistent earnings power

The second criterion helps Buffett determine if a company has a stable and/or growing business. Companies that have a history of steady and growing earnings tend to have competitive advantages that help their businesses grow over time.

The table below shows the net profit for Teckwah over the past five years:Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence

Teckwah’s net profit had declined from S$12.2 million in 2013 to S$11.3 million in 2017. In between, the company’s earnings went on a rollercoaster ride. With this erratic net profit over the past few years, it looks like Teckwah’s business does not possess any durable competitive advantage.

3. Good returns on equity (ROE) while employing little or no debt

This criterion’s purpose is similar to the second: It helps Buffett identify companies with competitive advantages. Generally, a company that has a history of generating good ROE while employing little or no debt has a high chance of possessing durable competitive advantages.

Here’s a table illustrating Teckwah’s return on equity, and total-debt-to-equity ratio, from 2013 to 2017:Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence

The company ended 2017 with a pedestrian ROE of 8.3% and negligible debt. Its cash balance, as of 31 December 2017, was S$27.7 million, with S$1.2 million in total debt.

4. Management in place

Buffett included this criterion because he did not want to have to provide a management team when he acquires a company. For stock market investors like you and me, this criterion has no real meaning, since public-listed companies almost always have leaders in place. However, this point is a reminder for us to take a look at the people running a company when researching a stock.

The chairman and managing director of Teckwah, Thomas Chua, started his career with the company in May 1979 as a management trainee. He rose through the ranks and became the managing director in 1989.

5. A simple business

In my view, Teckwah is a simple business to understand. However, it is worth noting that Buffett had this rule in place to cater to his circle of competence. He is only interested in acquiring businesses that he understands. Going with this train of thought, what I think is a simple business may be complicated for you, and vice versa.

6. An offering price

This is another criterion in Buffett’s checklist that is not applicable for stock market investors, since stocks have quoted prices that are easily seen, unlike the private businesses that Buffett evaluates for acquisitions. This criterion, though, serves as a useful reminder that the price we pay for a stock is critical.

If we overpay for a stock (meaning we invest in a stock at an expensive valuation), the chances of our investment succeeding will be low. A famous quote from Buffett, “Price is what you pay, value is what you get,” rings true here.

Coming to Teckwah, the company last traded at a stock price of S$0.46 yesterday, giving it a trailing price-to-earnings ratio of around 10 and a dividend yield of 5.4%, including the special dividend of 1.0 Singapore cent declared in 2017’s fourth quarter.

A Foolish conclusion

The deep dive I did earlier on Teckwah, and the application of Buffett’s checklist should help investors make a better-informed investing decision on the company. Stay tuned for more on the rest of the companies from the 2018 best stocks list. For a repository of all the articles in this new series that uses Warren Buffett’s acquisition criteria to analyse the 30 best stocks, you can head here.

Meanwhile, there are 28 surprising and important things we think every Singaporean investor should know—and we’ve laid them all out in The Motley Fool Singapore’s new e-book. Packed with information and insights, we believe this book will help you be a better, smarter investor. You can download the full e-book FREE of charge—simply click here now to claim your copy.

The information provided is for general information purposes only and is not intended to be personalised investment or financial advice. Motley Fool Singapore contributor Sudhan P doesn’t own shares in any companies mentioned.